Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Sovereignty Debt: Why Greece is in trouble and Japan is not

Problem with Greece

The answer lies in the following:

1) Who holds the debt. For Japan, most of its debt are held by its citizens, and thus it is very much in control although its debt/GDP ratio is very high as well.  A big portion of Greece's debt is held by other countries such as France and Germany and when these countries press Greece for the money, Greece will be in trouble.




2) Ability to inflat its currency. Japan can choose to inflat its currency to reduce the cost of debt.

3) Pension scheme and percentage of civil servants. Greece has very generous pension benefits for its civil servants, and have relatively high percentage of civil servants of its work force.


Problem with Japan

Japan has a different problem. It has to do with the following factors:

1) Demographics. Rapidly aging population, resulting in less consumer spending and thus leading to deflation.

2) Savings habit. The money printed by the government goes right into the people's savings accounts, again leading to less consumer spending, in turn leading to deflation.


Who bears the burden

We have seen that the burden is passed from:

Institutions -> Consumers -> Government who now bears most of the debts

These burden can be borne (and resolve) by the following:

1) Future Generations (eg. 2-3 generations paying off the properties in Japan)
2) Trading Partners (eg. pressure on china to revalue yuan)
3) Debtors (inflat to make debt cheaper)
4) Government (simulating growth. revenue/tax will increase and thus fiscal deficit will decrease)

Friday, March 19, 2010

Home-School Distance


Extracted from http://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/content/measuring-home-school-distance

  • Paid services.
    • The official source is SLA's INLIS. The Singapore Land Authority (SLA) is the source that provides the home-school distances to MOE every year. Parents can enter a postal code or address of their residence and then select the Primary school which they wish to calculate the distance from their property. This is NOT a free service, and costs about $2.10 per computation.
    • StreetDirectory. StreetDirectory.com is probably the best known map in Singapore. Unfortunately, the search for educational institutions feature is not a free service, and users have to pay about $0.54 per request.
    • Free services. There are several free services out there which allows parents to guage the home-school distances. However, such services cannot be used as official proof of home-school distances for Primary 1 Registration.
      • MyLifeStyleMap. This used to be called CAN.COM.SG, and is operated by Greendot Media, a portal company that owns several online websites. In many ways, this is the best free alternative because the map data actually comes from SLA itself. So the results should be quite close to what the schools have.
        • StreetDB. StreetDB.com is a new site born of a joint collaboration between SingaporeExpats.com and AGIS, a local mapping company.

        Monday, February 1, 2010

        Trading Hours and Data

        1. Gold, New York Spot Price, EST 9.30 - 17.30, http://66.38.218.33/charts/historicalgold.html
        2. Silver, New York Spot Price, EST 9.30 - 17.30, http://66.38.218.33/charts/historicalsilver.html
        3. DOW, GMT+8 10.30pm - 5am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EDJI
        4. NASDAQ, GMT+8 10.30pm - 5am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EIXIC
        5. S&P500, GMT+8 10.30pm - 5am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EGSPC
        6. S&P500 VIX, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EVIX
        7. Brazil Bovespa, Rio de Janeiro Stock Exchange, GMT+8 10pm - 4.45am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EBVSP
        8. Germany DAX, GMT+8 4pm - 3am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EGDAXI
        9. London FTSE 100, GMT+8 4pm - 12.30am, http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EFTSE
        10. Brent Oil, http://production.investis.com/bp2/download/brent_oil/
        11. Baltic Dry Index, http://www.eoddata.com/StockQuote/INDEX/BDI.htm
        World Time: http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock


          Saturday, December 26, 2009

          Portfolio Management


          Key Objectives
          • Achieve streams of cash flow
          • Manage risk
          Strategy
          • Core portfolio + Opportunistic portfolio
          Core portfolio should be as steady as possible, with the Opportunistic portfolio taking on higher risks to try for higher returns
          • Core portfolio will have to cater to the following 4 situations, with the investment vehicles best suited for particular situation, and still able to satisfy the 2 objectives.
          Raising GrowthFalling Growth
          Raising InflationProperty (cash flow thru rental yield)Inflation-linked bonds (cash flow thru coupon payment)
          Falling InflationEquities (cash flow thru dividends)Nominal bonds (cash flow thru coupon payment)
          • Opportunistic portfolio can comprise of emerging market indices, small cap equities, etc

          Wednesday, December 23, 2009

          Bangkok

          This is a non-investment post. More a mental note of what to do and not to do in bangkok.

          Hotel:
          1) Holiday Inn Bangkok, 971 Ploenchit Road, Bangkok 10330. 50 meters from Chit Lom Sky Train station.
          2) Intercontinental Hotel

          Tailor:
          1) Boss Collections. 502 Amarin Plaza Building. http://www.boss-collection.com/. 700baht for business shirt. 10am-8pm.

          Shopping:
          1) MBK (Mah Boon Krong). 11:00 - 22:00pm
          2) Platinum Mall. 9:00 - 20:00pm

          Travel:
          1) Take Cab with meters from the hotel lobby. Quite cheap with most destination not exceeding 100baht. 300baht from hotel to airport.

          Food:
          1) Food courts at MBK and Platinum
          2) Taling Pling at Central World. Nice and cheap thai food.

          Massage:
          1) Healthland at Sathorn. 120 North Sathorn Rd. 9:00 a.m. - 11:00 p.m. Full body 450baht for 2 hours. Legs 250baht for 1 hour.

          Do not:
          1) Take Tuk-tuk.
          2) Go weekend market and night market. Not much bargins there anyway. Might as well shop at MBK and Platinum.
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