Thursday, May 24, 2012

Formula One (F1) IPO on SGX





Formula One (F1) is looking to IPO on SGX next month.

Total listing expected to be US$3B. It will be priced in S$ and any dividends will be distributed in S$ as well.

Currently privately owned by private equity firm CVC Capital Partners.

Share is expected to be bundled with a loan note:
- 10% interest rate to shareholder
- mature in 2060
- may be callable 

Proceeds of the IPO:
- US$450m will be used to partially repay current debt of US$2.2B

A lot depends on the pricing of the IPO, but the bundled loan note looks interesting. Keep a look up on this.

Friday, May 18, 2012

IHH Healthcare IPO





Owned by Malaysia's sovereign wealth fund Khazanah

IHH is one of the world's largest private healthcare providers with 16 hospitals, 3000 beds, 60 medical centres and clinics:

1) Singapore - Mount Elizabeth, Gleneagles, Parkway East Hospitals, Mount Elizabeth Novena Hospital.
2) Turkey - 60% of Acibadem AS, Turkey's largest private hospital with 1750 beds.
3) Malaysia - Pantai Hospitals and International Medical University
4) China
5) India - Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd
6) Vietnam
7) Brunei

Current ownership composition:
1) Malaysia's Khazanah 62.1%
2) Japan's Mitsui & Co Ltd 26.6%
3) Dubai-based Abraaj Capital 7.1%
4) Acibadem chief Mehmet Ali Aydinlar 4.2%

Expected IPO date - Jul 2012. It will be dual listed in Singapore and Malaysia. Indicative price should be available on 1 Jun.

This is definitely something to look forward to to gain a good exposure to the healthcare sector, given raising healthcare costs and aging population in Singapore and China. 




Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Charles Nenners 2012 Updates


Personally, I don't find his prediction accurate. You can do a quick stock take on his calls through the past articles.

Anyway, these are his updates as of Mar 2012:
  1. The cycle work points to April 19th as the target date for a peak in stock prices. Expect it to be like 2011. The economy seemed strong at the beginning of the year, and then became weak.
  2. Bond market price cycle bottoms in April, and then turns back upward into September. Following that, Bond prices should turn down for many years.
  3. Gold should be at a cycle low in the first week of April.
Previous articles on Charles Nenners here.

Facebook IPO Valuation (Update)





Facebook had updated their IPO price range from $28-$35 per share to $34-$38 per share.

Many articles out there had estimated the PE to be about 100x.

A quick comparison to the 2 most popular tech stocks:
1) Apple: PE (TTM) = 13.5x
2) Google: PE (TTM) = 18.5x

This makes facebook quick overpriced, given that it is still trying to monetize their business model. As stated in the earlier post, it only makes for speculative trading.

Sunday, May 13, 2012

Facebook IPO, Valuation


Facebook will officially debut on the Nasdaq Stock Market (listed as "FB") on 18th May 2012.


IPO price is expected to be $28 to $35 per share. Of course the trading price on 18th May is expected to be even higher than the IPO price.

Basic Numbers
Revenue: $3.7B
Profit: $1B
Users: 845M
IPO Target: $12B (different numbers reported by articles, from 5B to 13B)
IPO Price (expected): $28 to $35
IPO Shares issue (estimated):  343M (using $12B divided by $35 per share)
Total Class B shares: >2B

Why IPO - Use of Proceeds
"The principal purposes of our initial public offering are to create a public market for our Class A common stock and thereby enable future access to the public equity markets by us and our employees, obtain additional capital, and facilitate an orderly distribution of shares for the selling stockholders. We intend to use the net proceeds to us from our initial public offering for working capital and other general corporate purposes; however, we do not currently have any specific uses of the net proceeds planned. We may use a portion of the net proceeds to us to satisfy a portion of the anticipated tax withholding and remittance obligations related to the initial settlement of our outstanding RSUs, which will become due approximately six months following the completion of our initial public offering. Additionally, we may use a portion of the proceeds to us for acquisitions of complementary businesses, technologies, or other assets. However, we have no commitments with respect to any such acquisitions or investments at this time.

Pending other uses, we intend to invest the proceeds to us in investment-grade, interest-bearing securities such as money market funds, certificates of deposit, or direct or guaranteed obligations of the U.S. government, or hold as cash. We cannot predict whether the proceeds invested will yield a favorable return. Our management will have broad discretion in the application of the net proceeds we receive from our initial public offering, and investors will be relying on the judgment of our management regarding the application of the net proceeds." 

This basically says that facebook doesn't really need the money, so it could be a case of cashing out by the key stakeholders.

Dividend Policy
"We have never declared or paid cash dividends on our capital stock. We currently intend to retain any future earnings for use in the operation of our business and do not intend to declare or pay any cash dividends in the foreseeable future."

Patents
For such a prominent company, Facebook seems to have limited patents and IP.

"As of December 31, 2011, we had 56 issued patents and 503 filed patent applications in the United States and 33 corresponding patents and 149 filed patent applications in foreign countries relating to social networking"
 
"We are currently, and expect to be in the future, party to patent lawsuits and other intellectual property rights claims that are expensive and time consuming, and, if resolved adversely, could have a significant impact on our business, financial condition, or results of operations"

Business Prospect
Given its wide reach and context awareness of its users, the advertising potential of Facebook is huge and could be greater than Google.

Summary
This looks like a speculative trading target since it is not a dividend play and it already has rich valuation. 



Wednesday, May 2, 2012

Alternative Investments


These are some "exotic" investments featured in Sunday Times dated 29th April 2012

1) Oudh oil from Aquilaria Trees
Who: Asia Plantation Singapore
Min Investment: S$27,500 for 100 trees. Each plantation has 12,000 trees.
Time Frame: 6-7 years
Returns: 19-22% pa.

2) Seaweed Farming
Who: Dynasty Marine Farm
Min Investment: S$4,500 per unit in Sabah
Time Frame: 5 years
Returns: 15% pa

3) Livestock
Who: Salisbury Investments
Min Investment: S$3,100 for 6 cattles reared in Colombia's San Pedro milk region
Time Frame: 1.5 year
Returns: 12-15% pa
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